The Epistemic Agora // Est. May 2019 | Post-Rationalist & Effective Altruism Archive

Recent Sequences & Alignment Threads (Oct 2026)

Epistemic Status: Why Mesa-Optimizers Violate Solomonoff Induction in Sparse Autoencoders
Author: @solomonoff_ghost • 34 comments • Updated: Oct 22, 2026
Post-Rationalist Reflections on our 2019-2026 AI Timeline Calibration Curves
Author: @bayesian_dave • 89 comments • Updated: Oct 22, 2026
Acausal Trade, Updateless Decision Theory, and Compute Governance Bottlenecks
Author: @miri_alumnus • 19 comments • Updated: Oct 21, 2026
Deceptive Alignment vs. Shard Theory: Empirical Notes from Small Transformer Runs
Author: @shard_theorist • 62 comments • Updated: Oct 21, 2026
Effective Altruism Cause Prioritization Under Heavy-Tailed Paschen Utility Functions
Author: @kelly_criterion_99 • 47 comments • Updated: Oct 20, 2026
Goodhart's Law in RLHF: When Proxy Rewards Collapse Epistemic Calibration
Author: @postrat_wanderer • 28 comments • Updated: Oct 19, 2026
Why Our 2019 Forecasting Tournament Underestimated Mechanistic Interpretability
Author: @acausal_trader • 104 comments • Updated: Oct 18, 2026
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